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This issue belongs to all of our train mfgs. The market is not great, we all know that but the lack of newly tooled items especially locomotives have almost if not nil. 

 

They can make items from old tooling but maybe one engine per catalog steam and diesel could be made also. 

 

I'm really tired of seeing the same old thing catalog after catalog---give us something new, please.

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Well, in the 2014 model year Lionel came out with new tooling for the USRA Heavy Mikado, a historically important locomotive that many of us have been wanting to see for years. On the diesel side, I do believe the Lionel E8/E9 is new as well, although I could be wrong on that one. Lionel also added the 86-foot modern boxcar. 

 

MTH announced two new Euro steamers: the German 2-10-0 and the French 2-8-2. We haven't seen a new freight car from MTH in a while, but I continue to hope. Rumors also persist that MTH is about to announce a scale GE 44-tonner, which Williams also did recently. 

 

We aren't buried in new stuff, but there's more than you would think from the title of this thread.

Well, I for one am very pleased that Lionel is investing money for additional tooling to produce the Hi hood version of the GP30 specifically for Southern  and N&W fans.

 

Exactly what is there out there that you feel needs to be produced and if it are, would it sell enough to justify large tooling expenditures.

 

Paying for four sets of new tooling per year as you suggest would probably wipe out any chance of profit for either MTH or Lionel.  We have so much to be thankful for when it comes to available engines and rolling stock that it is hard for me to imagine how we could complain.

 

Happy railroading,

Don

Last edited by DGJONES

It was a few years back when I heard this number tossed around, but I recall the folks at Atlas-O quoting $150K-$175K as a general number for new tooling expenditures with respect to brand new models of rolling stock like the CZ passenger cars.

 

From there, it's all about the numbers and ROI.  So depending on the production quantities, it may take one or two production runs to pay for the tooling.  That's not anyone's salary yet -- just covering the new tooling costs, etc...  Now add in salaries and other corporate overhead, and it's easy to see that it takes a few production runs to really start turning healthy profits on a new model.

 

Given the unsteady economy on this side of the ocean, combined with often unpredictable and challenging overseas labor issues on the other side of the ocean (which has gotta make coordination of new product development a nightmare), it's no real surprise that embarking upon new tooling projects nowadays seems a last-resort type of scenario.  

 

David

As for MTH, I think just sticking any old name on anything has run its course.

Give us other variations of cars and structures that haven’t been made going forward.

Marine related items, subway signals, simulated electrified 3rd rail kits, trucks seen in the 60’s & 70’s and so much more.

Maybe they should examine the entire HO market for ideas?

 

Less cookie cutter items please!

Originally Posted by Rocky Mountaineer:

It was a few years back when I heard this number tossed around, but I recall the folks at Atlas-O quoting $150K-$175K as a general number for new tooling expenditures with respect to brand new models of rolling stock like the CZ passenger cars.

 

 

On the Rapido Trains blog (HO and N manufacturer) $100K was mentioned recently for an all new N scale locomotive (a GMD-1), so $150K-$175K is probably even a little low for an O scale locomotive nowadays.

 

And, the cost of new tooling isn't going to go down, either...

 

Rusty

Catalog after catalog I see the same rolling stock in different paint schemes.  I would love to see some 19th century cars done that haven't been done before, but that's what I like.   I'm sure there are many here that would like more modern rolling stock to be made.

I wonder to myself if enough rolling stock has already been made.  Go to any train show and you'll see tons of it.
Originally Posted by david1:

This issue belongs to all of our train mfgs. The market is not great, we all know that but the lack of newly tooled items especially locomotives have almost if not nil. 

 

They can make items from old tooling but maybe one engine per catalog steam and diesel could be made also. 

 

I'm really tired of seeing the same old thing catalog after catalog---give us something new, please.

The solution is simple.  Why don't you and/or a consortium of individuals make(have it made) the tooling and then lease it back to he toy train companies.  Or just agree to pay more, say $1000.00 for each engine.  Tooling for our toys cost between 100K and 250K for a loco. 

That is the number that responsible individuals from the two largest toy train companies have told me.  One going into detail.  And since I come from a professional manufacturing background including metals, plastics, and rubber these numbers do not surprise me.  And yes it may,probably, dose not cost these Chinese or Korean companies that much but the world rate is that much so they too want it and get it.

 

Companies must recoup the cost, all cost plus a profit or they will not be there.  And we all should realize that the market quantity for our toy O-gauge trains is actually somewhat infinitesimal compared to almost any other product.

 

Of course you can start your own company like Mike Wolf did decades ago somewhat based on the same premise, but sooner or later the reality of economics catches up.

 

Ron

The perfect storm......Tooling cost in China/Asia have gone up 100 to 300% of what it was in the 1990's........

Add a flat market and no new tooling.

Some say it's a self made problem.....no new tooling....flat sales......but who here wants to risk their own cash on new tooling that will not pay for itself????

If anyone here has $1M I know tooling companies in China/Asia that will tool what you want!!

David:

 

I think we all would like to see a variety of new tooling, but economics will dictate just how much we will see.

 

I don't know whether you caught it on the news this week, but someone is producing a vehicle with a 3-D printer and will market it in the 20K range. This may be part of our future.

Originally Posted by Passenger Train Collector:

David:

 

I think we all would like to see a variety of new tooling, but economics will dictate just how much we will see.

 

I don't know whether you caught it on the news this week, but someone is producing a vehicle with a 3-D printer and will market it in the 20K range. This may be part of our future.

And it looks like it was made from spaghetti. (At least the one I saw...)

 

It will also be a while before a 3-D printer could match the speed of an injection molding machine for mass production.

 

Rusty

Anything can be produced inexpensively these days even at home using a 3D printer.

Some of us might just create and supply things that others failed to capitalize on in the garage.

 

Tooling has changed drastically so the old expensive excuse is no longer valid.

Smart machines are replacing humans every day.

 

These companies either need to step up or step out.

 

Originally Posted by SIRT:

Anything can be produced inexpensively these days even at home using a 3D printer.

Some of us might just create and supply things that others failed to capitalize on in the garage.

 

 

Until 3-D printing of large parts like body shells matches the output rate of injection molding, then it's simply going to be impractical for Lionel, MTH, Atlas, or anyone else for that matter, to use it for mass-producing, no matter how inexpensive the 3-D printing hardware is.

Originally Posted by SIRT:

Anything can be produced inexpensively these days even at home using a 3D printer.

Some of us might just create and supply things that others failed to capitalize on in the garage.

 

Tooling has changed drastically so the old expensive excuse is no longer valid.

Smart machines are replacing humans every day.

 

These companies either need to step up or step out.

 

Gotta disagree some on those statements........

I am lucky enough to be involved to a degree with the plastic model industry.

 

I see product go from a dream, idea, proposal, sketches, CAD drawings, 3D printed prototypes, rough tooling tests, first round mold tests, final mold test shots, test shots fit and finish builds, mold modifications, final product mold approval, packaging, production and product delivered via a container from China. Every single step people and human hands a vital part on two different continents.  We are using the current 'best methods' in hobby production......I see very little Artificial Intelligence, what you are talking about, in our production. Still a hands on business for now.

 

And costly....

Oh, I dunno. Seems to me that new tooling comes up sufficiently often, now. This doesn't

help if your pet piece hasn't been made - I feel your pain - but we have the new Lionel USRA Heavy Mike (mine will be L&N), the high-nose GP-30 (refreshed tooling - I've ordered

the SOU), some with correct trucks.

 

The 4-new-articulateds-in-a-catalogue days are over (would you buy them all?). The

O-gauge manufacturers have modeled only a small percentage of, for example, prototype

steam locos; we can hope for more, but at a rational pace.

 

I don't follow MTH as much as Lionel or the Lionel-pals, but those later Mohawks are

a real achievement (I have the Lima L3b).

===

Perhaps we should continue to encourage Weaver to keep offering low-volume steamers,

for those of us who want the less-mainstream.

 

(Again, NC&StL streamstyled 4-8-4's.)

=====

 

HOWEVER: for the life of me, I cannot recall any O-gauge/scale offering of a waffle-side

(proper name?) gondola. I see them all over the place; common, modern car. But,

if one has been done in plastic/scale, I don't know about it. Why? 

 

Last edited by D500
Originally Posted by bigdodgetrain:

I wonder how may molds for each loco does a manufacture need?

Depends on the engine.

Diesel:

1 for the main body and one for some add ons in plastic molds (horns, doors, whatever), At least two for the base plate in metal forming. One to punch the outline and holes, one to form the shape.

Steam engine:

you can double that if not more. And they are all die cast so bigger costs for each iteration of development.

 

Even a freight car takes at least 4: 2 Plastic; body, Details(doors, ect), Frame punch and molding (metal).

That's if the item has all molded in ladders and such, a Premier / Scale unit needs many more for the add on details.

Last edited by Russell

I’m in the cell phone industry.

Apple can design, provide millions of phones, load the OS software and have them in your hands in a matter of weeks via Foxcon.

Any kind of plastic, metal shape or part can be made inexpensively and produce quickly.

 

Successful companies are using LEAN and Kaizen methods these days.

Get on board!

They can make items from old tooling but maybe one engine per catalog steam and diesel could be made also. 

 

I'm really tired of seeing the same old thing catalog after catalog---give us something new, please.

I agree. At least one new loco a year is all we ask. There are still some models to make:

 

4-4-0 cammelbacks

2-6-0

2-6-2

 

GP9m[ chopped nose]

GP40-2[phase II]

SD60M[three payne cab]

U28/30/33/36B's

C36-7

C39-8

 

 

Originally Posted by SIRT:

I’m in the cell phone industry.

Apple can design, provide millions of phones, load the OS software and have them in your hands in a matter of weeks via Foxcon.

Any kind of plastic, metal shape or part can be made inexpensively and produce quickly.

 

Successful companies are using LEAN and Kaizen methods these days.

Get on board!

Quiz time, 4 questions:

 

Which is more complicated? 

 

Which requires more hand assembly?

 

Which one costs the consumer less?

 

Which one has higher production numbers?

 

a:

apple-iphone-5-B

b:

Lnl Y6b

Rusty

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Last edited by Rusty Traque

As usual, a lot of naïve opinion re business and manufacturing.

 
Stocks not doing well?....in the last few days?   Wrong stocks?  (Even in a bull market you can be in a race for last place!
 
Same ol' same ol'...
 
Say, here's an idea.  For those who pine for the unmade, why not start a tooling fund?  Negotiate with the manufacturer of your choice to set up a tooling fund for a specific item, advertise the goals and aspirations...and the total $$$ required!!!...and start investing your own money in the project of your dreams!?!?  Be sure to hire a good attorney to establish the terms....you know, first born guarantees, reasonable bullet-proof escape clauses, rights of product approvals, etc., etc., yada, yada, yada.  Oh, lessee, attorney costs would have to be baked into that, too...ka-ching, ka-ching, ka-ching.  Gotta put a time limit on the funding effort....don't want to exceed one's bucket life.  Oh, and be sure to establish a fair share of the pile of profits!!
 
Not something I'd ante into, mind you.  But, how bad do you want it?  As Jerry MacGuire once said...
 

show-me-the-money

 

Meanwhile, I'm going to try to understand why a country of 1.4 BILLION souls would want to find a way to replace the human content with "smart machines" in the making of toy trains?   Hmmmmm.... 

 

Meanwhile, back at the ranch....

 

 

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Last edited by dkdkrd
Originally Posted by bigdodgetrain:

I wonder how may molds for each loco does a manufacture need?

If the mold is a high grade tool cut from nickel steel it will last 1 million presses or more if taken care of. Some plastic model tools have, with maintenance, been in use since the 1960's.

I do not know for a fact but doubt any modern O scale loco has worn out a mold or production numbers so high it needed a clone mold.

Originally Posted by SIRT:

 

These companies either need to step up or step out.

 

Man, I hope and pray that our current suppliers do not decide to just "step out".  I reentered the hobby in 1975 and was happy to just find that Lionel was still making trains, even if was very limited.  

 

I am amazed at the choices I have available to me today and still enjoy every new catalog that comes out.

 

Happy railroading,

Don

Originally Posted by SIRT:

I’m in the cell phone industry.

Apple can design, provide millions of phones, load the OS software and have them in your hands in a matter of weeks via Foxcon.

Any kind of plastic, metal shape or part can be made inexpensively and produce quickly.

 

Successful companies are using LEAN and Kaizen methods these days.

Get on board!

Apple has 300,000 "employees" assembling I pads alone.

 

Originally Posted by dkdkrd:

As usual, a lot of naïve opinion re business and manufacturing.

 
Stocks not doing well?....in the last few days?   Wrong stocks?  (Even in a bull market you can be in a race for last place!
 
Same ol' same ol'...
 
Say, here's an idea.  For those who pine for the unmade, why not start a tooling fund?  Negotiate with the manufacturer of your choice to set up a tooling fund for a specific item, advertise the goals and aspirations...and the total $$$ required!!!...and start investing your own money in the project of your dreams!?!?  Be sure to hire a good attorney to establish the terms....you know, first born guarantees, reasonable bullet-proof escape clauses, rights of product approvals, etc., etc., yada, yada, yada.  Oh, lessee, attorney costs would have to be baked into that, too...ka-ching, ka-ching, ka-ching.  Gotta put a time limit on the funding effort....don't want to exceed one's bucket life.  Oh, and be sure to establish a fair share of the pile of profits!!
 
Not something I'd ante into, mind you.  But, how bad do you want it?  As Jerry MacGuire once said...
 

show-me-the-money

 

Meanwhile, I'm going to try to understand why a country of 1.4 BILLION souls would want to find a way to replace the human content with "smart machines" in the making of toy trains?   Hmmmmm.... 

 

Meanwhile, back at the ranch....

 

 

OK, Show me the new TRAINS AND I WILL SHOW THE MONEY  

I would love new tooling but I understand why there is not a business case for it at this point of time.  I wonder how many units they have to sell to break even on the cost of new tooling.  I am just happy I got experience when MTH and Lionel had new tooling every year in the late 1990's and early 2000's.  I hope it some point though some new tooling like a B23-7, B30-7, or B36-7 would be developed.  A decent amount of railroads owned these and it would be great for people who model 80's and 90's railroads.  I wonder if it possible to do modular tooling to build these locomotives.

Originally Posted by NDanny:

I am hoping for Lionel to make a traditional SD70 ACe or GE ES44ac like MTH's imperial versions. 

 

Unfortunately I do not see Lionel doing that because they have basically discontinued the Lionmaster line because it was costing almost as much to make those items as the scale stuff. They could do a semi scale starter set one but I do not know if it would sell well. It would be nice if Lionel had a more modern diesel starter set locomotive though.

Last edited by FECguy

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